[tr?id=205597113249118&ev=PageView&noscript=1] RSS feed of '2022 Presidential election' next Survive France -- -- Sign Up Log In 2022 Presidential election Politics -- -- In the coming weeks I’ll try to “passer en revue” (to examine, to review) the current state of the parties competing in next year’s elections (10 & 24 April 2022) as well as the already-declared candidates (Marine Le Pen, Xavier Bertrand etc.) + the putative, potential and fringe candidates. -- -- addition of the Parti Communiste, absent from the last two presidentials, as well as EELV, the Greens, who last time pulled out two months before election day) and a dozen candidates should be on the starting line when the campaign starts proper circa September, but most parties will be active this summer (Universités d’été in August for -- -- To kick-start the topic: Macron & LREM. It could be argued that Macron’s surprise election in 2017 happened on a “malentendu” and a good dollop of fluke. The planets aligned perfectly for Macron as he benefited from the centrist Bayrou’s pulling -- -- monde”, the Macron novelty has worn off, people know what’s in the tin and that could be Macron’s undoing. In addition, poor results in recent local elections, the Municipals last year and the Regionals-Departmentals just gone, have hurt. It is a new party and therefore is not well established locally but -- -- It is a new party and therefore is not well established locally but some particularly dire results worry the top LREM brass, which explains Macron’s total lack of comment post election, it clearly is an embarrassment for LREM. -- -- embarrassment for LREM. On the other hand, local and national elections are very different beasts in France and Macron’s popularity ratings, bar one of two hiccups (particularly the Benalla Affair in summer 2018, in the -- -- The Greens have “le vent en poupe” (they’re riding high), bigly. After recording good results in the Euro elections in 2019 (14%), they were the major surprise of the 2020 Municipals as they took a surprisingly high number of major cities, mainly via a coalition (The Guardian: -- -- high number of major cities, mainly via a coalition (The Guardian: France was swept by a green wave on Sunday as ecology candidates won a number of major victories in the country’s local elections.). The Greens as a national political force are hardly new in France. The -- -- The approx. 3 million – registered – French citizens abroad are represented by 23 MPs, 12 sénateurs/trices and 11 député.e.s. This election (originally due in Sept. 2020 but postponed because of the pandemic) to elect 6 of them will be held in September 2021. As you may know, senators are indirectly elected, by what’s called “grands -- -- Regionals-Departmentals just gone have undoubtedly been a success for LR and the mainstream Right in general (7 regions/12 in Mainland France - details here - in blue on the map below, all comfortable re-elections of outgoing presidents) -- -- (beat Juppé convincingly). This time round, as befits a party in disarray with no clear ligne directrice , a major problem has emerged over the selection process, it’s been a well-publicised headache for the LR top brass and Christian Jacob, the somewhat dull LR president since summer 2019, who’s the LR leader more by default than conviction. -- -- reactionary candidate they picked for the 2019 Euros, the young François-Xavier Bellamy, dreadfully unsuited to be LR leader material in a big election – anti-abortion etc. – hence their pitiful score of 8% at that election. Cue a massive crisis, which had been brewing since 2017, cue many stalwarts flouncing off from the party to be independent – Pécresse, Bertrand etc. – or to join Macron’s LREM as I wrote, cue -- -- “cote de confiance” (confidence rating) at 39%, Marine Le Pen substantially down (-7 from before the Regional-Departmental elections), confirming her poor performance in the Regionals just gone compared to the 2015 Regionals where the then Front National registered nearly 28% (a disappointing 19% this time round, with nearly 4 million -- -- It shows how parties will be funded in the 2017-2022 period (so from the Législatives election of June 2017 to the 2022 Législative election), as least for the “public funding” part of it (parties obviously rely on other sources – private funding – I’ll develop that in another thread if necessary, but the public funding part for most is -- -- companies/lobbies/associations etc. are not allowed to donate at all. Capped at €15,000 per fiscal household. In Présidentielles-Législatives election year, it’s possible for a private person to donate a max. additional €4,600 to finance the electoral campaign of one or more candidates (it’s €4,600 -- -- are 31 in the current législature), who contractually have to give back to the PC the difference between their former wage (before their election) and their current MPs’ one, so it could be in the € thousands a month. There are exception etc. but that’s roughly it, the rationale behind it being that MPs for the Parti Communiste