#Metaculus Questions RSS IFRAME: https://www.googletagmanager.com/ns.html?id=GTM-TZ78RVG Metaculus * Forecasting * + All Questions + Categories + Rankings + Track Record + Metaculus Journal + Public Figures * Causes * + Feeding Humanity + Healthy Communities + Flourishing Futures + Trustworthy News * Tournaments * + AI Progress + Alt Protein + Keep Virginia Safe + VA Lightning Round + Real-time Pandemic + Nuclear Risk + Szilard Essay Contest + Trade Signal + Global Trends 2022 + FluSight Challenge * Account * Log in Sign Up * Dark Mode FORECAST Facebook Twitter Embed Copy Link Approval Set Reminder Share private question Unsubscribe from question View Metaculus Prediction (free) {{qctrl.question.communityIsHidden ? 'Show' : 'Hide'}} Community Prediction Unmake your prediction Your submission is now in Draft mode. Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you! (BUTTON) Submit for review Your essay is now in Draft mode Once you submit your essay, it will be available to judges for review and you can no longer edit it. Please make sure to review eligibility criteria before submitting. Thank you! (BUTTON) Submit Essay Submit Essay Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it. Pending This content now needs to be approved by community moderators. Submitted This essay was submitted and is waiting for review by judges. Marine Le Pen French President in 2022 Created by pierreavdb on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}. Question The French presidential election will be held in April 2022. Marine le Pen is a candidate for the "Rassemblement National" (far-right) party. In 2017, Le Pen went to the second round but lost against Emmanuel Macron, with 33.9% of the total vote. More information, including recent polls, is available on Wikipedia. Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Resolution is positive if Marine le Pen wins the second round of the 2022 French presidential election and is elected president. If the French presidential is not held in 2022, the question resolve ambiguously. Categories: Elections – European Make a Prediction Prediction Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it. Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards. This question is not yet open for predictions. Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ. Metaculus help: Predicting Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record. The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ. Thanks for predicting! Your prediction has been recorded anonymously. Want to track your predictions, earn points, and hone your forecasting skills? Create an account today! Track your predictions (BUTTON) sign in (BUTTON) create an account Continue exploring the site random question question list Metaculus * About * News * Track Record * Jobs Forecasting * Guidelines * Tutorials * Resources * Question Writing Support * FAQ * Feedback * Patreon Privacy PolicyTerms of Use Forbes Scientific American Time Vox Yale News Nature